14
Nov
Wrap – Week Ended 11/12/21
.
.
The ZLT ended down 1.3% on the week as our modest oil service holdings weighed on the portfolio while oily and gas positions ebbed slightly, offsetting strong gains in our solar and other renewables tied names. RIVN IPO shares were only in the personal and we've not added a ZLT position there. In the week ahead 3Q21 energy earnings season will wind down but we do have a flurry of reports into the end as well as a key analyst day for ENPH.
Free Stuff Last Week: Seeking Alpha Editor's Pick - Proterra Reports Solid 3Q21, With Rising Deliveries And Strong Margins + Major Battery Tech Win
Holdings Watch:
- We added to one small cap, oily Permian last week.
- We sold our position in COP at average $72.91, up 22%, purely for profit protection given market conditions. We held a middling sized position and have no change with regards to the positive story of significant cash flow and return of capital here and we look forward to reloading our position later and potentially lower.
- The blotter is updated.
Questions about the site can be directed to zman@zmansenergybrain.com.
Questions under The Wrap will be addressed in the Subscriber Mailbag section of the Monday post.
.
PBW Clean Energy ETF
November 14th, 2021 at 3:33 pmWeekly
Largest positive demand volume since last January
https://i.postimg.cc/PqXpQTT2/PBWw.png
Daily Next upside target/supply level at 99.
https://i.postimg.cc/8c6bWMV2/pbw.png
TAN
November 14th, 2021 at 3:34 pmRelative low volume area above for the ETF and a number of individual stocks. Little supply to contend with.
SHLS,ENPH,ARRY all high relative strength vs the group. Good calls Z.
Unowned solar stocks showing good charts RUN,SPWR,JKS
https://i.postimg.cc/rFZPkFYt/tand.png
QS
November 14th, 2021 at 3:35 pmWeekly Three consecutive weeks of heavy demand volume, tailing off towards the end of last week. Lots of supply to work through here..
https://i.postimg.cc/Vk62rZVp/qsww.png
Daily Up against next level of heavy supply from 40 up…Minor support at previous
acceptance at 37.19.If that level is rejected as too high a break of 35 targets support at 32.
https://i.postimg.cc/vmGMNtqv/qsd.png
IEA
November 14th, 2021 at 3:35 pmWeekly Follow through on long term volume base break.
https://i.postimg.cc/SsBDsDM0/ieaw.png
Choppy/grind at 12.32, major acceptance. Need to see a break and close above 12.41 to move out of acceptance and test next upside supply level at 12.91
https://i.postimg.cc/2680M1NJ/iea.png
ORA (unowned) Continues to look good to me.
November 14th, 2021 at 3:36 pmWeekly Break above long term volume base
https://i.postimg.cc/PrLmCmMK/ora.png
Daily Looks a little extended here but supply thins out above this level.
https://i.postimg.cc/jjRw4Nyp/ora-2.png
WTI Continues to be range bound after the run up. Range High/Low market on chart…Break of range low has next defined support at
November 14th, 2021 at 3:36 pm77.70.
https://i.postimg.cc/d3FN65t2/cld.png
Nat Gas Ended the week losing it’s short and medium term uptrend. Support at 4.65
November 14th, 2021 at 3:37 pmDaily
https://i.postimg.cc/m2sWpS66/ngd.png
XOP Demand volume continues to tail off but price still above all major MAs and holding above this months point of control at 105.41.
November 14th, 2021 at 3:49 pm110 would be a level to watch for another leg up..if/when. Below 105 would suggest a test lower to 101.
https://i.postimg.cc/hjc3bCG9/xop-1.png
OIH Bounce last week was sold and demand volume continues to rollover on the daily and weekly time frames.
November 14th, 2021 at 3:57 pmShort and intermediate downtrend.200 Ma just below. If I was looking for a bounce it would be at previous acceptance around 200.
https://i.postimg.cc/jqFYtb5m/oih.png
S&P Futs…Back above all moving averages after last weeks high volume one day dip…Support at 4635 and then 4619
Daily
https://i.postimg.cc/rpSLTVwc/esd.png
Hourly Last Friday’s rally continued into Sunday night.
November 14th, 2021 at 8:00 pmhttps://i.postimg.cc/Y2FDynjK/es60.png