17
Aug
Wrap – Week Ended 8/15/14
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Please see the Monday Post for The Week That Was section covering last week's events as the 2Q14 season wound to a close. In the coming week look for an update Permian Players cheat sheet and several other close of quarter items.
Holdings Watch: Rare week as we closed two fairly long held positions.
- 8/14/14 FTK – Sold the second half of our position taken in 1/18/12 for $8.55 at an average of $27.36, up 220%. In the wake of the quarterly releases we are opting to reduce some exposure to names we find more difficult to follow. Oil Service is not my first love anyway and we've done here but visibility, for me at least, is not what I'd like it to be. We continue to own HAL in Service for now and will be likely adding additional other names in the not too distant future in the Service space.
- 8/14/14 – GULTU - Sold the Starter position taken in June 2013 at $1.98 for an aveage of $2.37, up 20%. The next event for the ultra deep potentially impacting this trust will be in October with the completion of the Lomond North well on the Highlanderpropsect. We may rebuy on weakness prior to a mid Fall (probably Thanksgiving-ish) time frame.
The ZLT Blotter is updated.
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Questions under The Wrap will be addressed in the Subscriber Mailbag section of the Monday Post.
Oil Producer Index Coming into the CHVN at 49 with CLVN/likely support at 48. Up sloping 200 MA at 47. Major CHVN/acceptance lower at 46 if all hell breaks loose(smaller probabliltiy). Demand volume still negative. Absolute volume fading. Not looking for a big bounce unless volume picks up. Expecting sideways consolidation beginning more likely.
http://www.charthub.com/charts/2014/08/17/oil_producer_index
Natural Gas Producers trading in balance at major long term acceptance/CHVN at 34.50. Demand volume weak but becoming more neutral after reaching extreme negative twice. Major long term resistance/former breakout just above level at 35 Expecting consoldation and another breakout. No evidence of that yet.
http://www.charthub.com/charts/2014/08/17/nat_gas_producer_index
http://www.charthub.com/charts/2014/08/17/nat_gas_producer_index
August 17th, 2014 at 12:56 pmInteresting analysis of the XLE ETF on CNBC Options Action.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000302528
August 17th, 2014 at 3:30 pmWe had one SA piece out last week:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2418735-pre-call-note-athlon-reports-solid-q2-14-boosts-guidance-adds-more-prime-acreage
August 17th, 2014 at 3:47 pm