25
Aug

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Last week of summer trading. Look for the typical dwindling of volumes as we approach the end of week and a 3 day weekend which many buy and sell side types will effectively stretch to four days. We're using the week to continue to update post 2Q14 group and individual company name pieces.  In today's post please find The Week That Was, a WIOWIO for CPE, comments on a PVA operations update (delays), and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the Chicago Fed national activity index at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, prior reading of 0.13), 
  • We get New Home Sales at 10 am EST (F = 430,000, last read of 406,000)

The Week Ahead:

  • Tuesday 8/26: Durable goods, Core capital equipment orders, Case-Shiller home prices, FHFA home prices, Consumer confidence, 
  • Wednesday 8/27: No ecodata release scheduled, 
  • Thursday 8/28: Jobless claims, GDP revision for 2Q14, Pending home sales, 
  • Friday 8/29: Personal income, Consumer spending, Core PCE price index, Chicago PMI, Consumer sentiment.

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – CPE WIOWIO, PVA
  5. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to …  Continue Reading »


23
Aug

Wrap – Week Ended 8/22/14

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Decent week for the portfolios, up 2 to 4% across the ZLT's, as the noise of summer plays out. We spent the week listening to presentations from an energy conference and pulling together post quarter updates on a number of names of interest including CRZO with a version here for Seeking Alpha as well as updating our thoughts on the sub groups (last week Wattenberg, next week Permian).  

Holdings Watch:

  • No position closings last week but we did add a new starter Core and we added to an existing Core in the ZLT.
  • The Blotter is updated.

​​Questions under the Wrap will be addressed in the Subscriber Mailbag section of the Monday post. 

Have questions about Zman's Energy Brain?  Check out the How To ZEB link here or at upper left on the site or send them to zman@zmansenergybrain.com

Have a great weekend. 

wrap 082214

 


22
Aug

Friday

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Market Sentiment Watch: Sleepy summer Friday as the market await's Yellen's speech while keeping an eye on Ukraine which may heat up again as far as the markets are concerned today and this weekend.  In today's post please find the natural gas inventory slide show (bigger than expected injection on mildness last week but no change to our call for a 3,500-ish Bcf storage peak in early November) and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch: 

  • No economic data release today. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – Enercom Wraps (MRD, SSN, CLR, HAL)
  5. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to Continue Reading »


21
Aug

Thursday Morning – Wattenberg Quick

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Market Sentiment Watch: Chinese data overnight saw preliminary PMI hit a 3 month low of 50.3 (well below the final reading for July of 51.7) suggesting further slowing in the expansion there. Look for additional stimulative action there soon.  In today's post please find the oil inventory review, the natural gas inventory preview, a new and improved Wattenberg Cheat Sheet, and some other odds and ends.

Housekeeping Watch – If you are new to the site or a long time member:

1) Thanks for subscribing!

2) Please ask questions in the comments section … there are no dumb questions here.  If you want to keep it private shoot it over to zmanalpha@gmail.com address but honestly someone else may have insight I don't or may benefit from an answer to your question. 

3) Tell your friends about the site and get rewarded if they sign up (ask how at the email address above).  Know that we may be tax deductible for you (ask your tax advisor).

4) If you can't find something on the site please ask. We've been doing this for about 8 years now (I mean the site, in the business for 22+ years) and I can get around the site or suggest ways to that are likely to get you better search results. Never be frustrated with the site, just ask. 

5) Thanks again.  Best, Z

 

Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get Jobless Claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 300,000, last read was 311,000),
  • We get Philly Fed at 10 am EST (F = 18.0, last read was 23.9),
  • We get Existing Home Sales at 10 am EST (F = 5 mm, last read was 5.04 mm), 
  • We get Leading Indicators at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was +0.3%),
  • Yellen speaks tomorrow. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Review
  4. Natural Gas Inventory Preview
  5. Stuff We Care About Today – Wattenberg Cheat Sheet (1st edition)
  6. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to Continue Reading »


20
Aug

Wednesday Morning – WPX

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Market Sentiment Watch: Market in Fed watch mode (minutes today, sound bites out of Jackson Hole tomorrow, and Yellen speaking on Friday). We also have a pick up in eco data tomorrow that could provide a bit more volatility than we've seen in the recently sleepy days of summer. In energyland, in the wake of quarterly reports, most eyes are focused on oil and a slowly rebounding Libya and a lack of impact from the violence in Iraq and are likely increasingly concerned about a coming seasonal (but likely steeper than normal) near term re-ramp in U.S. crude stocks.  In today's post please find the oil inventory preview, updated comments on WPX as the corporate transformation continues and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the FOMC minutes at 2 pm ​EST.

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Preview
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – WPX
  5. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to

Continue Reading »

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