28
Jan
It was a much more interesting first week of energy earnings than the numbers below suggest. Full comments plus a wrap of HAL, CLB and other earnings last week and next week’s calendar in the Monday post.
Here’s the CRR article from December 6th if you missed it. Shiny and Smooth But Costly
Here’ s the 3rd article on Bonanza Creek with model.
Here’s the flipside article to all the talking head arguments against HAL.

27
Jan
Market Sentiment Watch: GDP came in slightly light to expectations. The L-shaped recovery continues and I can’t really complain about about the sequential increase here. Government purchases were down sharply in the quarter helping to pull the headline number off of consensus as defense spending slowed. The consumer In today’s post please find a early read on another soon to be public E&P company, as well as the natural gas storage review, a look ahead at next week’s earnings, a wrap of CRR’s key points from their call yesterday, and a run down of OAS’ guidance for 2012.
Macondo Watch: Judge rules partially in favor of RIG over BP … that BP would be responsible for losses resulting from oil spilled below the surface. The judge then said that RIG could still be responsible for damages under the Clean Water Act and the Oil Pollution Act. And both sides then claimed victory. And here’s another article on it.
Ecodata Watch:
- 4Q GDP came in at 2.8% vs the 3.0% forecast and the 1.8% reading from 3Q11,
- We get Consumer Sentiment at 10 am EST, forecast is 74.3, last reading was 74.
In Today’s Post:
- Holdings Watch
- Commodity Watch
- Natural Gas Inventory Preview
- Oil Inventory Review
- Stuff We Care About Today – IPO Watch (DOR), OAS guidance update
- Odds & Ends
Continue Reading »
26
Jan
Market Sentiment Watch: Fed goes lower for longer and the crow goes wild. That pretty much sums up yesterday as equity markets pushed higher taking crude up slightly and our group to the strongest levels we’ve seen (for the oily names) in quite some time. Today is another busy day for economic releases but tomorrow’s 4Q GDP number could prove pivotal if backward looking. In today’s post please find the EIA oil inventory slide show along with a look at another soon to price E&P IPO (most likely hits the market next week).
Ecodata Watch:
- Jobless claims - 377,000 vs a forecast of 373,000, and last week’s reading of 352,000,
- Durable goods- (F = 2.5%, last read was 3.7%),
- We get Leading indicators at 10 am EST (F = 0.9%, last read was 0.5%),
- We get New home sales at 10 am EST (F = 325,000, last read was 315,000),
- We get 4Q GDP (F = 3.0%) and consumer sentiment tomorrow.
Housekeeping Watch: Friday will be “bring your little, oddball, esoteric energy name to the ZEB site day”. You can always do this of course but we’re looking for a few good small cap energy ideas (preferably E&P or Service) to learn about, drop onto a market watch and maybe some day own. So if you want, put together a concise little paragraph and drop it in the comments section in tomorrow’s post. Thanks.
In Today’s Post:
- Holdings Watch
- Commodity Watch
- Natural Gas Inventory Preview
- Oil Inventory Review
- Stuff We Care About Today – IPO Watch (MTDR), CRR earnings, HES Bakken comments
- Odds & Ends
Continue Reading »
25
Jan
Market Sentiment Watch: Calls of worry over Greece rising again with Portugal not far behind but today we should see a quiet session in front of the Fed announcement which should point to continued modest improvement and no change in action. In today’s post please find a sort of expanded Why I Own, What I Own piece for REXX as it has tumbled in sharply in recent weeks, moving with other, gassier names yet its story remains 1) cheap, 2) on course and compelling, 3) higher margin than the pure play gas names and 4) well hedged. Also please find the natural gas and oil inventory previews – we should get out first winter-like withdrawal from gas storage of the season tomorrow but it’s little cause for celebration as it’s too little, too late, even if we experience a serious, prolonged cold snap in the near term.
Ecodata Watch:
- We get FHFA home prices and pending home sales at 10 am EST,
- FOMC statement and Ben Bernanke press conference later in the day.
In Today’s Post:
- Holdings Watch
- Commodity Watch
- Oil Inventory Preview
- Stuff We Care About Today – REXX
- Odds & Ends
Continue Reading »
24
Jan
Market Sentiment Watch: Little in the way of economic news today, State of the Union tonight may seem more energy company friendly, and we get the Fed statement and Ben testimony so the market probably has another day of wait and see action in store for today… meanwhile worry over Greece and now Portugal is re-entering the market place. Gassy stocks were buoyed yesterday by CHK’s decision to cut back on drilling in dry gas plays (more quickly than previously expected) and to curtail production (more on that in the Commodity and Stuff sections below. That’s a nice start but we need cold weather to really rally gas and the gassier than not group and even that won’t prevent a record high post withdrawal season storage trough. In today’s post please find a quick update of the gassy player’s piece as well as earnings from BTU and a brief but important operational update from SSN.
Ecodata Watch:
- We get the Richmond Fed index at 10 am EST, last read was 3.
In Today’s Post:
- Holdings Watch
- Commodity Watch
- Stuff We Care About Today – HAL earnings wrap, BTU earnings, Gassy players update, CHK
- Odds & Ends
Continue Reading »