Archive for February, 2019


Tuesday Morning – PES, CLR

. . Market Sentiment Watch: Market largely focused on China trade talk and U.S. data (which has been turning more mixed of late). Energy land in the heart of earnings. In today's post please find The Week That Was, the 4Q18 Energy Earnings Week 6 Calendar, comments on the PES quarter, comments on the CLR quarter, […]


Wrap – Week Ended 2/15/19

. . Solid week, with the ZLT up 9.9% yielding a YTD gain of 18.3%.    We had earnings or other reviews of 7 names of interest and one owned name last week. Upstream names are just starting to report 4Q18 results and on the whole they are moving better post release as long as spending remains disciplined and […]



. . Z4 Sentiment Watch: Part of the sentiment problem for small and mid cap E&Ps is that the same general group of analysts covering them also cover their large cap peers making it pretty easy to be jaded about promises of cash flow neutrality a few quarters out and relatively smallish free cash generation. […]


Thursday Morning – Mini Earnings Avalanche

. . Market Sentiment Watch: China data kicking the year off much better than expected with January exports rising 9.1% (a drop of 3.2% was the consensus forecast) while imports were only off 1.5% (a 10% drop was expected; though imports from the U.S. tanked 41%). In energyland, due to reserve reporting requirements, 4Q earnings are spread […]


Wednesday Morning

. . Market Sentiment Watch:  In today's post please find the oil inventory preview (API was benign after the close), comments on the IEA weekly (maintained demand forecasts, increased non OPEC supply as did other agencies this week, highlighted crude quality issue), the natural gas inventory preview (small this week, then building in withdrawals size rest of […]

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