13
Aug

Tuesday Morning – FANG

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Market Sentiment Watch: Group trying to find traction as market watches for China trade clues (same story, different week). In today's post please find the early read on oil inventories (fairly benign looking set of numbers expected; we expect net imports to reverse course this week or next which should be interesting in the face of best levels of the year yet type refiner throughput), the very early read on natural gas inventories (consensus in line with last week's build, just above the five year average), post quarter comments and updated cheat sheet for FANG (never had more production BOE's backing each share and never traded for less on an Enterprise value to production basis), and some other odds and ends.

Ecodata Watch:

  • The NFIB small business index came in at 104.7 vs 103.3 last month,
  • We get CPI at 8:30 am (headline forecast = 0.3%, last read was 0.1%;   core forecast = 0.2%, lat read was 0.3%).

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today – FANG
  4. Odds & Ends

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12
Aug

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch:  China remains in market focus.  In today's post please find our thoughts on what's working, The Week That Was, an updated cheat sheet for JAG, and some other odds and ends.   In case you missed The Wrap click here.

 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the federal budget at 2 pm (no forecast, last read was -$77 N)
  • We get the EIA Drilling Productivity Report at 12 pm EST.

The Week Ahead: 

  • Tuesday - NFIB small business, CPI, 
  • Wednesday - Import price index, 
  • Thursday - Jobless claims, retail sales, productivity, unit labor costs, Empire State, Philly Fed, industrial production, capacity utilization, business inventories, NAHB home builders index, 
  • Friday - Housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, OPEC Monthly. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch - end of 2Q19 thoughts
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today –  JAG, Subscriber Mailbag
  5. Odds & Ends

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09
Aug

Wrap – Week Ended 08/09/19

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The Blotter is updated.

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Links to SA pieces this week.

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Questions and comments under The Wrap will be addressed in the Monday post.


09
Aug

Friday Morning – JAG

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Market Sentiment Watch:  In today's post please find the the natural gas review (slightly smaller than expected injection; look for a similar sized build next week), comments on the IEA report, comments on the JAG quarter (see detailed comments below), a trade notice in the Holdings Watch section, and some other odds and ends.

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get PPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.2%, last read was 0.1%).

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - JAG, see notes end of Stuff section
  5. Odds & Ends

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08
Aug

Thursday Morning – TPIC, BCEI

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Market Sentiment Watch: China on market's mind. In today's post please find the oil inventory review (negative ), the natural gas preview (bigger than normal build expected), comments on the BCEI quarter (pre announced volume beat, now raising guidance with low end of range in line with current Street for 2019; estimates to be revised higher for 2019 and likely 2020; 2020 is already incredibly cheat for lack of leverage), comments on the TPIC quarter (release and call last night; 2Q19 size beat, reaffirmed key 2019 guidance, eased 2020 on higher line transitions but reaffirmed long term growth view), and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get jobless claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 215,000, last read was 215,000),
  • We get wholesale inventories at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was 0.4%).

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Oil Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - BCEI, TPIC, REI
  5. Odds & Ends

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