16
Apr

Wednesday Morning – ATHL, CWEI

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Market Sentiment Watch: YoYo market engaged. In energyland things remain fairly quiet in front of the start of energy earnings season. In today's post please find a cheat sheet and quick comments on EFS/Permian player CWEI and more comments on ATHL as they look to fund their recent package of acquisitions (we hope you don't get tired of hearing about this one). 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get Housing Starts at 8:30 am EST (F = 990,000, last read was 907,000),
  • We get Industrial Production at 9:15 am EST (F = 0.5%, last reas was 0.6%),
  • We get capacity utilization at 9:15 am EST (F = 78.7%, last read was 78.4%), 
  • Yellen speaks at 12:25 pm EST,
  • We get the Beige Book at 2 pm. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Preview
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – ATHL, CWEI
  5. Odds & Ends

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15
Apr

Tuesday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Economic data increasingly important as we move through the week and the market continues to nervously eye the unfolding situation in Ukraine. The energy complex continues to largely outperform the broader markets and we continue to plan to make some balancing trades into the heart of the 1Q14 reporting season (about 2 weeks away) if the outperformance continues. In today's post please find a quick updated look at Niobrara small cap player SYRG and some other odds and ends.

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get CPI at 8:30 am EST (F = +0.1% for headline and core),
  • We get Empire State Index at 8:30 am EST (F = 8.0, last read was 5.6),
  • We get the Home builders' index at 10 am ESt (F = 50, last read was 47).  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today – SYRG
  4. Odds & Ends

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14
Apr

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Nervous market continues with Ukraine threatening military action against pro-Russian groups in Ukraine. It was a long, long weekend so in today's post please find the Wrap for last week along with The Week That Was section. Please also find a few other odds and ends including a big TMS well for GDP. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get retail sales at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.7% headline, 0.4% ex autos),
  • We get business inventories at 10 am EST (F = 0.5%, last read was 0.3%)

The Week Ahead:

  • Tuesday 4/15: Tax day. CPI, Empire State, Homebuilders' index, 
  • Wednesday 4/16: Housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, Beige Book, 
  • Thursday 4/17: Jobless claims, Philly Fed, 
  • Friday 4/18: Leading indicators

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. The Wrap
  4. The Week That Was
  5. Stuff We Care About Today – GDP
  6. Odds & Ends

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11
Apr

T.G.I.F – WIOWIO

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Market Sentiment Watch: Nervous market with broad indexes set to tumble at the open after JPM's miss this morning tipped futures lower.  In energy land, things remain fairly quiet, and futures are barely budging. We expect that to change next week with the usual pre quarter set of operations updates and volume pre-announcements along with earnings from one of our names with a non-standard fiscal year. In today's post please find the natural gas inventory slide show (first injection of the season comes in light and we have added a look at the trajectories from here in the slide show), comments on the FANG operations update, and the WIOWIO Update Part 5. 

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Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get PPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.1%, last read was -0.1%),
  • We get consumer sentiment at 9:55 am EST (F = 80.8, last read of 80). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – WIOWIO Part 5,  FANG 
  5. Odds & Ends

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10
Apr

Thursday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Fed statement rallies market. In energyland, domestic crude has gotten ahead of itself and the group has gotten a bit giddy as we approach the 1Q14 reporting season.  Please see the Holdings Watch section for a comment we wrote last week but want to reiterate again now.  In today's post please find the oil inventory slide show, the natural gas preview, and a list of takeaways (some general, some specific) by operator, in each play (at least the plays we care the most about) from IPAA. Please also note OPEC comments in the Commodities Watch section and our reiteration of a comment made a week ago in the Holdings Watch segment as something to keep in mind.   

 

Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get jobless claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 316,000, last week was 326,000),
  • We get the Imports Price index at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.2%, last read was 0.9%), 
  • We get the federal budget at 2 pm EST
  • Tomorrow we get PPI and consumer sentiment. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Review
  4. Natural Gas Inventory Preview
  5. Stuff We Care About Today – IPAA End of Conference Play Summary Notes
  6. Odds & Ends

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