06
May

Z4 Research Test Drive

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19
Sep

Tuesday Morning- REN

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Market Sentiment Watch: Group seeking traction and major trend reversal. Both for the equity industry sub groups and for oil and natural gas.  In today's post please find the early read on oil and natural gas inventories, comments on REN, comments on JAG, and several other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get Housing Starts at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was 1.115 mm),
  • We get Building permits at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was 1.235 mm),
  • We get the Import Price Index at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was 0.1%).  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today – REN, JAG
  4. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to ...

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18
Sep

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch:  The group showed the best week of the year to date (low bar) with the portfolio up 7% last week and the signs of across the board traction we like to see as multiple energy subgroups advanced sharply. In today's post please find an updated set of ZLT holdings graphs (we remain about 23% cash), The Week That Was (comments on another Harvey impacted week of inventory numbers, our outlook,  comments on the positive forecast changes out of OPEC, EIA, and IEA last week that helped drive the strong week (better late than never EIA with those STEO oil production growth forecast reductions), and notes on our writings last week), and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the NAHM home builders' index at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was 68).
  • We should get the EIA's Drilling Productivity Report by noon eastern. Recent reports have shown falling new well oil and gas productivity. 

The Week Ahead: 

  • Tuesday - Housing starts, building permits, import price index,  
  • Wednesday - Existing home sales, FOMC announcement, Janet Yellen press conference, 
  • Thursday - Jobless claims, Philly Fed, leading economic indicators, 
  • Friday - Markit manufacturing PMI, Markit services PMI, OPEC JMMC meeting. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today
  5. Odds & Ends

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16
Sep

Wrap – Week Ended 09/15/17

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The ZLT was up 7%  on the week. The XOP was up 6% and the OIH was up 7% marking the energy groups' best week this year. 

The Blotter is updated.

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15
Sep

Friday Morning – Natural Gas Storage + JONE

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Market Sentiment Watch: In today's post please find the natural gas inventory review (bigger than expected build, and we expect another big one next week as well), comments on JONE, comments on REN, and some other odds and ends. Next Friday OPEC plans to meet to discuss among other items enhanced monitoring of exports (should be interesting). 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get Retail Sales at 8:30 am EST (headline forecast = 0.1%, last red was 0.6%; ex autos forecast = 0.4%, last read was 0.5%),
  • We get Empire State at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was 25.2),
  • We get industrial production at 9:15 am EST (F = 0.1%, last read was 0.2%),
  • We get capacity utilization at 9:15 am EST (F = 76.8%, last read was 76.7%),
  • We get Consumer Sentiment at 10 am EST (F = 94.5, last read was 96.8). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - JONE, REN
  5. Odds & Ends

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14
Sep

Thursday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch:Delivering traction. In today's post please find the oil inventory review (bigger than Street expected crude build (smaller than our expectation), failure of imports to bounce (instead retreated but should recover next week), failure of EIA to properly adjust the weekly (so far and we have our doubts that they will near term) relative to the new STEO, much larger than expected gasoline and distillate product draws), the natural gas preview (looking for a bigger than average number today but gas is moving on the near term forecast for heat), a set of players group multiples, and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get jobless claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 300,000, last read was 298,000),
  • We get CPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.3% headline, 0.2% core; last reads were 0.1% for both). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Oil Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - Group multiples
  5. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to ...  Continue Reading »

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