20
Apr

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: In energyland we welcome the 1Q15 energy earnings season. Look for extensive play by play color on completed well cost reductions and managements' potentially evolving reactions to a slightly better oil price environment in light of those lower costs. Do not look for a significant reversal in drilling activity at this time (our sense is that even in the more balance sheet healthy names managements will see little reward in adding rigs back at this time (with a few exceptions that were already still in acceleration mode)). Look for a number of names to pre-announce volumes this week and next. In today's post please find The Week That Was, comments on the HAL quarter (beat), REXX, the Week 2 1Q15 calendar, and a few other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We ge the Chicago Fed at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was -0.08)

The Week Ahead:

  • Tuesday 4/21: None
  • Wednesday 4/22: FHFA home price index, Existing Home Sales, 
  • Thursday 4/23: Jobless claims, Markit PMI Flash, New Home Sales, 
  • Friday 4/24: Durable Goods.

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - HAL, REXX, 1Q15 Earnings Calendar Week 2, IPAA
  5. Odds & Ends

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18
Apr

Wrap – Week Ended 4/17/15

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Questions and comments will be addressed in the Monday post. Have a great weekend. 

wrap 041715


17
Apr

T.G.I.F.

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Market Sentiment Watch: Stocks futures dipping this morning over change in Chinese regulations allowing lending of stocks for short selling. In today's post please find the natural gas inventory slide show (bigger than expected and gas holding up admirably as the shoulder kicks off in as expected steeper slope fashion (note that we expanded the graphs section with this release), comments on the SLB quarter (better margins than expected), and some other odds and ends. Please see comments in yesterday's post in the Holdings Watch section for a current read on our portfolio thoughts.  

Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get CPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.3% headline, 0.2% Core vs 0.2% for both last month), 
  • We get Consumer Sentiment at 9:55 am EST (F = 93.5, last read was 93.0),
  • We get Leading Indicators at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was +0.2%). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - SLB
  5. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to Continue Reading »


16
Apr

Thursday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Most market eyes back on Greece. In energyland, yesterday investors reacted positively to a more rapid ramp than expected in refinery throughput, an expected (by us at least) big reversal in imports, and a third week of apparent topping action in U.S. oil production which came together to produce the first non monster sized build in oil inventories in recent memory, with across the board buying (oily, gassy, and Service all moving with better ease). In today's post please find the natural gas inventory preview, the oil inventory review, a few extra comments about what we are thinking now in the Holdings Watch section, and some other odds and ends.

 

Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get jobless claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 281,000, last read was 281,000),
  • We get Housing Starts at 8:30 am EST (F = 1.04 mm, last read was 897,000),
  • We get Philly Fed at 10 am EST (F = 6.0, last read was 5.0)

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch - with natural gas storage preview
  3. Oil Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - AR, MTDR, MRD
  5. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to Continue Reading »


15
Apr

Wednesday Morning – Catalyst List Update Part III

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Housekeeping Watch: We conducted a software "upgrade" last Friday and one of the changes to the site was the removal of the "Login" link at upper left. Please use the "Admin / Login" link at upper right to log in to the site. If you need assistance, please email us at zman@zmansenergybrain.com. 

Market Sentiment Watch: Happy tax day. Did you know Zman's Energy Brain may be a tax deductible expense for you? Consult your tax adviser to find out. In energyland, we're seeing the names continue to wake up with crude in the expected fashion on Middle East tensions but also on the dawning reversal in the US over supply scenario. It's likely shorts are getting increasingly uncomfortable with names that are reducing costs and adding to hedges having just gone through a cycle of balance sheet repair.   In today's post please find the Catalyst List Update Part III and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get Empire State Index at 8:30 am EST (F = 7.0, last read was 6.9),
  • We get Industrial Production at 9:15 am EST (F = -0.5%, last read was +0.1%),
  • We get Capacity Utilization at 9:15 am EST (F = 78.5%, last read was 78.9%),
  • We get the Home Builders' index at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was 53), 
  • We get the Beige Book at 2 pm EST.

 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h - with oil and natural gas inventory previews
  3. Stuff We Care About Today - Catalyst List Update Part III, CRZO, OAS
  4. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to ...  Continue Reading »

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