22
Aug

Friday

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Market Sentiment Watch: Sleepy summer Friday as the market await's Yellen's speech while keeping an eye on Ukraine which may heat up again as far as the markets are concerned today and this weekend.  In today's post please find the natural gas inventory slide show (bigger than expected injection on mildness last week but no change to our call for a 3,500-ish Bcf storage peak in early November) and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch: 

  • No economic data release today. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – Enercom Wraps (MRD, SSN, CLR, HAL)
  5. Odds & Ends

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21
Aug

Thursday Morning – Wattenberg Quick

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Market Sentiment Watch: Chinese data overnight saw preliminary PMI hit a 3 month low of 50.3 (well below the final reading for July of 51.7) suggesting further slowing in the expansion there. Look for additional stimulative action there soon.  In today's post please find the oil inventory review, the natural gas inventory preview, a new and improved Wattenberg Cheat Sheet, and some other odds and ends.

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Ecodata Watch: 

  • We get Jobless Claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 300,000, last read was 311,000),
  • We get Philly Fed at 10 am EST (F = 18.0, last read was 23.9),
  • We get Existing Home Sales at 10 am EST (F = 5 mm, last read was 5.04 mm), 
  • We get Leading Indicators at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was +0.3%),
  • Yellen speaks tomorrow. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Review
  4. Natural Gas Inventory Preview
  5. Stuff We Care About Today – Wattenberg Cheat Sheet (1st edition)
  6. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to Continue Reading »


20
Aug

Wednesday Morning – WPX

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Market Sentiment Watch: Market in Fed watch mode (minutes today, sound bites out of Jackson Hole tomorrow, and Yellen speaking on Friday). We also have a pick up in eco data tomorrow that could provide a bit more volatility than we've seen in the recently sleepy days of summer. In energyland, in the wake of quarterly reports, most eyes are focused on oil and a slowly rebounding Libya and a lack of impact from the violence in Iraq and are likely increasingly concerned about a coming seasonal (but likely steeper than normal) near term re-ramp in U.S. crude stocks.  In today's post please find the oil inventory preview, updated comments on WPX as the corporate transformation continues and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the FOMC minutes at 2 pm ​EST.

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Oil Inventory Preview
  4. Stuff We Care About Today – WPX
  5. Odds & Ends

Please click the link right below this to

Continue Reading »


19
Aug

Tuesday Morning – CRZO

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Market Sentiment Watch: YoYo market conditions remain in place with market participants alternatively eyeing domestic and European data while waiting on Yellen's speech later this week. We see this as pre-end-of-summer-and-wish-I-was-on-the-beach noise. We're using the relative quiet to update files and look towards some balancing and re-alignment trades.  In today's post please find a post 2Q14 update on CRZO, some comments on WPX's solid asset moves, some late day yesterday Enercom wrap presentation comments, and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get CPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.1% headline, F = 0.2% core vs prior reads o 0.3% and 0.1% respectively,
  • We get Housing Starts at 8:30 am EST (F = 970,000, last read was 893,000). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today – CRZO, WPX, Today at Enercom, Enercom Wrap – GDP
  4. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to …

Continue Reading »


18
Aug

Monday Morning And All Is Calm

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Market Sentiment Watch: Lighter week on the economic front. Look for a number of post quarter pieces from us this week, both for groups and for owned and unowned names. Many of our watched and owns names will be speaking at Enercom early this week and we expect to see some gain a little traction in the wake of good quarters that still saw post release retreat. Look for presentation notes over the course of the day. Otherwise, sideways trading remains in effect for the group at large.   In today's post please find The Week That Was and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the Home Builders' index at 10 am (no forecast, last read was 53) 

The Week Ahead:

  • Tuesday 8/19: CPI, housing starts, 
  • Wednesday 8/20: FOMC minutes, 
  • Thursday 8/21: Jobless claims, Markit Flash PMI, Philly Fed, Existing Home Sales, leading indicators, Jackson Hole meeting begins, 
  • Friday 8/22: no economic data release scheduled, Yellen speaks at Jackson Hole. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today 
  5. Odds & Ends

Click the link directly below this to …  Continue Reading »

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